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Samstag, 9. Juli 2016

S&P/TSX Global Mining Index steigt auf neues Jahreshoch

Das Comeback der Minenaktien geht in die nächste Runde..



Quellestockcharts.com

Aufstrebender Goldproduzent K92 Mining sichert sich konstruktive Finanzierung

Der angehende Goldproduzent in PNG, K92 Mining (V.KNT), nutzt die starke Performance nach dem IPO für eine weitere Kapitalmaßnahme.

Durch die Ausgabe von 5 Mio. Aktien zu 1,00 CAD wird die kanadische Firma 5 Mio. CAD erhalten, welche die solide Kapitalbasis weiter stärken wird. Der Re-Start der Minen-Operationen auf dem Irumafimpa-Goldvorkommen (Kainantu-Goldmine) läuft planmäßig. K92 Mining visiert bereits im August 2016 die Produktion des ersten Gold-Konzentrats an..

Werfen Sie auch einen Blick in die informative Firmen-Präsentation.

Quelle: k92mining.com


Quote:

K92 MINING INC. ARRANGES $5,000,000 FINANCING

By admin Posted July 7, 2016
  • non brokered private placement at $1.00
  • restart is on schedule and on budget
  • Australian Mine Design and Development Pty Ltd. commence Kora scoping study
K92 Mining Inc. (the “Company” or “K92”, TSXV: KNT) is pleased to announce a non-brokered private placement to raise up to $5,000,000 (the “Financing”) through the issuance of up to 5,000,000 units (the “Units”) of the Company at a price of $1.00 per Unit. Each Unit will consist of one Common share (an “Offered Share”) and one half of one Common share purchase warrant (a “Warrant”). Each full Warrant will allow the holder to purchase one Common share of K92 at a price of $1.50 for a period of 12 months from the date of issuance, subject to the acceleration right described below..

Linkhttp://www.k92mining.com/2016/07/k92-mining-inc-arranges-5000000-financing/



Quelle: k92mining.com





Quote #2:

Angehender Gold-Produzent in PNG: K92 Mining visiert Fertigstellung des Minenzugangs auf Kainantu im Juni an

Mit einem renommierten Management-Team, starken Aktionären, vollen Kassen und großen Ambitionen visiert die Junior-Firma K92 Mining (TSX-V:KNT) die Goldproduktion auf dem hoch-gradigen Irumafimpa-Vorkommen (Kainantu-Goldprojekt) in Papua-Neuguinea (PNG) an..

Big Picture: Welche Nation hat die höchsten Arbeitszeiten?

Das folgende Ergebnis einer aktuellen Arbeitsmarkt-Analyse wird viele Menschen verwundern..

Quelle: bloomberg.com

USA, Energiemarkt: Aktive Öl- und Gas-Bohrgeräte verzeichnen höchsten Wochen-Anstieg seit Sommer 2015

Die rasante Ölpreis-Rally während den letzten Monaten sorgt für einen weiteren Sprung bei den aktiven Öl- und Gas-Bohrgeräten in den Vereinigten Staaten:

Quelle: zerohedge.com

Toll Miller Inca One Gold gibt umfassendes Firmen-Update und neue Finanzierung bekannt

Das kanadische Juniorunternehmen Inca One Gold (V.IO), das sich auf Toll Milling in Peru spezialisiert hat, verkündete diese Woche ein detailliertes Update.

Sehen Sie folgend die Highlights:
  • Signifikante Steigerung der Netto-Umsatzmarge in den ersten 6 Monaten 2016 auf durchschnittlich 40%.
  • Netto-Umsatzmarge konnte im Vergleich zum vorherigen Rechnungszeitraum knapp verdoppelt werden.
  • Zahlreiche Verbesserungen bei den Goldmessungs- und -Erz-Gewinnungsprozessen wirkten sich positiv auf die Profitabilität aus.
  • Export von 92,2 Kilogramm Gold in H1 2016, was einem Gold-Umsatz von 3,7 Mio. US-Dollar entspricht. weitere
  • Weitere Stärkung des operativen Teams und Managements in Peru.
  • Im Juli bzw. August sollte Inca One weitere 1 Mio. US-Dollar an Steuer-Rückzahlungen erhalten.
  • Re-Split im Zuge der Finanzierung: Für 5 alte Aktien erhalte Investoren 1 neue Aktie von Inca One.
  • Kapitalmaßnahme: Nach der Aktien-Konsolidierung (Re-Split) visiert Inca One eine Privatplatzierung von 16 Mio. Aktien zu 0,25 CAD an, wodurch die Firma 4 Mio. CAD an Barmitteln erhalten sollte. Diese werden die Eigenkapitalbasis stärken und die Schulden senken.
  • Nach der Rekapitalisierung und Umschuldung wird Inca One in der Lage sein, den Aufrüstungsplan umzusetzen, um wieder eine Produktionsrate von 100 tpd zu erreichen.
  • Positiver Wahlausgang in Peru: Der neue Präsident Pedro Pablo Kuczynski gilt gilt als großer Unterstützer kleiner Bergbauunternehmen.

Werfen Sie auch einen Blick in die aktuelle Firmen-Präsentation.

Quelle: incaone.com



Quote:

Inca One Gold Corp. Announces Equity Financing and Proposed Share Consolidation

VANCOUVER, BC – July 8, 2016 - INCA ONE GOLD CORP. (TSX.V: IO) (“Inca One” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce that it is undertaking a non-brokered private placement for gross proceeds of up to $4,000,000 (the “Private Placement” or “Offering”). Concurrent with the Private Placement, the Company will also conduct a five to one share consolidation of its common shares (the “Consolidation”)..

Freitag, 8. Juli 2016

Cyprium Mining: Visueller Einblick in die Mining-Operationen in Mexiko

Sehen Sie folgend ein informatives Video, das Junior-Miner Cyprium Mining (V.CUG) diese Woche publiziert hat:




Quote:

Cyprium Mining startet Minenförderung auf Potosi in Mexiko, Aktie steigt auf 6-Monatshoch

Der auf Mexiko fokussierte Toll Miller Cyprium Mining (V.CUG) erreicht den nächsten, operativen Meilenstein. Diese Woche gab die kanadische Junior-Firma den Start des Förderbetriebs auf der Potosi Silbermine bekannt..



Big Picture: Bilanzsumme der EZB erreicht neues Rekordhoch

Die expansive Geldpolitik in der Eurozone erreicht einen neuen Rekordwert..

Quelle: zerohedge.com


Quellezerohedge.com


Interview mit Gianni Kovacevic über die Energiewende und den Einfluss auf den Kupfer-Markt

Hörenswertes Interview mit dem Kupfer-Experten und Environmentalist Gianni Kovacevic- credit to CEO.CA:




Quote:

Kupfer: Großer Profiteur vom laufenden Boom bei den Erneuerbaren Energien


Quelle: usfunds.com

Donnerstag, 7. Juli 2016

Bill Gates und andere namhafte Persönlichkeiten unterstützen Renaissance der Nuklear-Industrie

Hierzu ein aktueller Bericht von Zerohedge:

Bill Gates And Other Billionaires Backing A Nuclear Renaissance




Tyler Durden's picture
Let’s for a second imagine a world without nuclear energy. That’s a tough one but let’s try. No nuclear bombs, of course, no Chernobyl and Fukushima, no worries about Iran and North Korea. A wonderful world, maybe?
Probably not, because without nuclear energy we would have burned millions more tons of coal and billions more barrels of oil. This would have brought about climate change of such proportions that what we have today would have seemed negligible.
Nuclear energy and uranium, which feeds it, are controversial enough even without any actual accident happening.Radioactivity is dangerous. Nobody is arguing against it. When an accident does take place, the public backlash is understandably huge. What many opponents of uranium forget to mention, however, are the benefits of nuclear energy and the fact that the statistical probability of serious accidents is pretty low. They focus on the “What if?” and neglect the other side of the coin. But let’s try to see both sides of the issue.
The positive side of nuclear energy definitely deserves more attention than it’s currently getting. Uranium-fueled power is obscenely greener than fossil fuels. It’s also cheaper and, perhaps surprisingly for many, it is actually lower in carbon emissions than solar and biomass. This means that the construction of a nuclear plant, including materials used and the work itself plus the operation of the plant over its lifecycle, produces fewer greenhouse gases than the construction and operation of a solar farm.
What’s perhaps more important is that nuclear energy is much more easily scalable than other low or zero-carbon energy sources. And that isn’t just some claim from the nuclear industry – that’s something climate scientists and environmentalists are saying. Here’s a public appeal by several such scientists, urging greater support for nuclear energy, noting that “While it may be theoretically possible to stabilize the climate without nuclear power, in the real world there is no credible path to climate stabilization that does not include a substantial role for nuclear power.”
The uranium mining industry is certainly aware of these attitudes and it’s also aware of a global trend: countries are building new nuclear plants and upgrading existing ones. Forget about Germany and its plans to go nuclear-free – plans that will cost it tens of billions, by the way. None other than Sweden--the poster child of renewable energy, the country that vowed to become the first fossil-free state in the world--is not only choosing to maintain its nuclear fleet; it is updating them. China is building 20 new reactors, South Korea is working on four; and even Japan is restarting some of the capacity shut down after the Fukushima disaster and building new reactors.
The growth of nuclear power around the world will cause demand for uranium to surge, and uranium prices are set to double over the next two years. “Reality is finally trumping negative sentiment,” says Paul D. Gray, CEO of uranium and lithium miner Zadar Ventures Ltd“And the reality is that we can’t wean ourselves off fossil fuels without nuclear power.”
Uranium will be needed in prodigious volumes to power up new nuclear reactors, and much of it will come from the Athabasca Basin in Canada. This area, rich in high-grade uranium, is being targeted by both public giants like Cameco (TSX:COO) and Areva (EPA:AREVA) and smaller miners such as Zadar Ventures, CanAlaska Uranium and Mega Uranium.
Yet what about those notorious safety risks? Nuclear energy may be green, but it is also more dangerous than, say, wind energy.
Again, nobody in nuclear power is contesting that. What they are doing instead is working on new, safer reactors. Welcome to the next generation—reactors that are much safer than their predecessors. But they will still need uranium.
The U.S. government recently announced an $82-million funding program for next-generation nuclear reactor development. The UK is even more generous, pledging last year £250 million over five years for research and development in the nuclear energy field.
Private investors such as Bill Gates, D. E. Shaw, and Chinese billionaire Li Kashing have been pouring money in such research – and uranium mining – for years now.
The nuclear reactors of tomorrow will not only be safer than the ones we already have – which are themselves safer than many believe – they will be much more efficient.
Bill Gates’ TerraPower, for instance, has designed a traveling wave reactor, which utilizes nuclear waste. Another design, by two MIT researchers, again uses waste, mixed into molten salt. In short, the nuclear reactors of the future will utilize not just regular uranium but will take care of the waste as well – the same waste that raises so much concern among environmentalists and the general public.
So it’s the Athabasca Basin that will be ground zero in the nuclear energy rebound.
Some even call the Athabasca Basin the “Persian Gulf of uranium”. It not only contains some of the highest-grade uranium in the world, it is also home to two of the top seven deposits in terms of metal content. The basin has a well developed power, transport and processing infrastructure, too, which makes it all the more attractive for miners and mining investors.
Athabasca will be one of the places to watch in the coming years as the uranium market swings from a glut into a deficit. The glut was caused by the sharp drop in demand following the Fukushima events in 2011. Now the pendulum is moving back, with a deficit in the making as uranium miners curbed exploration and production due to falling prices.
Back in 2012, Bill Gates noted that “When you have fission, you have a million times more energy than when you burn hydrocarbons. That's a nice advantage to have.”
Today, it’s getting increasingly clear that it’s more than “nice”. Nuclear power is unique among zero-carbon energy sources: its production is consistent as it doesn’t depend on sunlight or wind. This, coupled with affordability and safety – whatever environmental extremists say – makes nuclear energy an indispensable element of the global renewable energy mix for the future.
It also suggests uranium is more than likely to take the center stage it deserves as fossil fuels relinquish the spotlight.
The Athabasca basin will be in the undeniable spotlight sooner than you might think in what will be a boon for major Northern American operators as well as juniors, such as Zadar Ventures.
“It’s impossible to find another natural resource that is so fundamentally necessary to our future,” says Zadar’s Gray. “This will be the year of the uranium rebound, and nuclear energy’s next-generation safeguards will rewrite the global energy map once again.

USA: Öl-Exporte erreichen neues Rekordhoch

Nach einer scharfen Korrektur schießen die amerikanischen Öl-Exporte auf ein neues Allzeithoch. Das Wachstum der Öl-Exporte über die letzten Jahre spricht Bände..

Quelle: U.S. Census, Twitter@javierblas2

Nano One Materials: Neue Verarbeitungstechnologie für Kathoden in Lithium-Ionen-Batterien

Hierzu ein informativer Bericht von InvestorIntel:

Petersen on a novel processing technology for lithium-ion battery cathodes

Posted on June 2016 by John Petersen

Nano One Materials Corp. (TSXV: NNO) is developing a novel, scalable, low cost processing technology for the mixed metal oxide powders used in lithium-ion battery cathodes. Nano One’s processing technology has been successfully demonstrated in laboratory scale testing with batch sizes of several hundred grams. It is currently building a pilot-scale version (batch sizes of up to 10 kg) of a planned commercial-scale processing facility to prove its commercialization path. After spending a couple hours on the phone with Nano One’s officers last week, I think their patented cathode powder manufacturing process may be a game-changer that could become an industry standard because:
  • It uses standard metallurgical and industrial equipment with no “black boxes;”
  • It has the potential to reduce cathode cost per kWh by up to 50% using a simpler process that can accommodate lower purity feedstocks (99% vs 99.9% or 99.99%);
  • The superior homogeneity and crystalline structure of the finished cathode powders significantly improves battery performance and cycle-life;
  • It can be used for most common cathode chemistries and two proprietary chemistries;
  • It provides direct access to crucial process technology for developers of lithium-ion battery gigafactories that need to vertically integrate their supply chains; and
  • It has significant potential in other important industries.

Nano One is pursuing a “platform technology” business model where it will develop its process through the pilot phase and then negotiate licenses, joint ventures and other commercialization relationships. After giving effect to estimated Q2 losses of $650,000 (CDN) and recent warrant exercise and private financing transactions that went off at an average price of $0.30 (CDN), Nano One has 57.6 million shares outstanding, $4 million (CDN) in stockholders’ equity and a $4 million (CDN) war chest. Its financial resources should be sufficient to build the pilot plant and get a good start on the customer testing and validation process. Based on Nano One’s current stock price of $0.53 (CDN), a market cap of $30.6 million (CDN) does not strike me as unreasonable.

Linkhttp://investorintel.com/market-analysis-intel/nano-one-materials-fascinates/






Big Picture Welt-Wirtschaft: Wachstum des globalen Container-Handelsvolumens kommt zum Erliegen

Sehen Sie hierzu einen informativer Chart, der definitiv als Warnindikator für den globalen Handel betrachtet werden kann:

Quelle: reuters.com

Markt für Lithium-Ionen-Batterien: Großes Wachstum vorprogrammiert

Hierzu eine informative Übersicht der vielen Verwendungsmöglichkeiten von Big Player Albemarle (ALB):

Quelle: albemarle.com

Silber: Globale Barren-Nachfrage in 2015

Indien und die USA waren mit Abstand die größten Nachfrager von Silber-Barren im vergangenen Jahr. Hierzu noch ein informativer Rückblick:

Quelle: SRSroccoReport

Konsolidierung im Junior-Goldminen-Sektor geht weiter: Centerra Gold übernimmt Thompson Creek Metals für 1,1 Mrd. USD

Der ehemalige Highflyer Thompson Creek Metals (T.TCM) wird von Goldproduzent Centerra Gold (T.CG) übernommen. Der freundliche Übernahme-Deal bzw. Merger hat einen Wert von über 1 Mrd. USD, wobei der Großteil dabei auf die Übernahme der enormen Schuldenlast zurückzuführen ist. Der Deal ist ebenfalls positiv für Streamer Royal Gold (RGLD), der jetzt eine höhere Cashflow-Sicherheit bei dem Stream für die Kupfer- und Goldmine Mount Milligan Mine in B.C. erhalten wird..

Centerra Gold merges with Thompson Creek Metals in debt-focused deal

Thompson Creek Metals (TSX:TCM) will soon start operating its Mount Milligan copper-gold mine in British Columbia under a new name.

The American company on Tuesday was bought out by Toronto-based Centerra Gold (TSX:CG), whose ongoing dispute with Kyrgyzstan has provided a steady diet of mining headlines over the past few years. In June the disagreement took an ominous turn with authorities opening a criminal probe against managers at the firm’s giant Kumtor gold mine in the central Asian nation.


It seems pretty clear that Centerra's decision to combine with Thompson Creek Metals was a bet on a safe mining jurisdiction: Canada. Along with Kumtor, Centerra also owns a mine in Mongolia- hardly a guarantor of financial certainty, as Turquoise Hill's complicated relations with the Mongolian government over Oyu Tolgoi's expansion will attest.

On Tuesday Centerra agreed to buy the Colorado-based miner and its nearly US$900 million in debt. The $1.1 billion deal will allow Thompson Creek's creditors to be paid. Centerra will also raise $170-million through a bought-deal financing. When the merger completes in the fall, Centerra shareholders will own 92 percent of the two companies, with eight percent owned by Thompson Creek's stockholders..

Cyprium Mining startet Minenförderung auf Potosi in Mexiko, Aktie steigt auf 6-Monatshoch

Der auf Mexiko fokussierte Toll Miller Cyprium Mining (V.CUG) erreicht den nächsten, operativen Meilenstein. Diese Woche gab die kanadische Junior-Firma den Start des Förderbetriebs auf der Potosi Silbermine bekannt.

Zunächst wird Cyprium Mining mit der Erz-Förderung auf den Level 1-4 beginnen, welche durch rehabilitierten Minenschacht Nr. 3 erreichbar sind. Das ausgebeutete Material wird zur Verarbeitungsanlage Aldama (rund 42km entfernt) gebracht. Später soll dann der größere Erzkörper in den tieferen Regionen (Level 9-11) angegangen werden.

Neue Bilder von den aktuellen Aktivitäten können Sie hier einsehen: https://www.icloud.com/sharedalbum/de-de/#B0m53qWtHvrxvL

Alain Lambert, Chairman und CEO ist mit den Entwicklungen sehr zufrieden: "We are very pleased that it took only six months and less than a million dollars to return the Potosi Mine to production. This nicely validates Cyprium's business plan of acquiring and inexpensively restoring past producing mines to generate cash flow for expanded development and exploration." Mr. Lambert added: "We believe that the larger Santo Domingo mineralized body located at level 9, 10 and 11 of the mine - also known as the Main Silicate Body - has good exploitation potential and having started production of the Tunel body, evaluation and preparations for exploiting the Santo Domingo body will assume top priority."
Cyprium Mining announces start of production at the Potosi Silver Mine 
Montreal, Quebec - (July 6th, 2016) Cyprium Mining Corporation ("Cyprium" or the "Company") (TSX-V: CUG and CUG.DB) is pleased to announce the start of production at the Potosi silver mine located in the historic Santa Eulalia District, Chihuahua, Mexico..
Linkhttp://www.cypriummining.com/en/investors/news-releases/cyprium-mining-announces-start-of-production-at-the-potosi-silver-mine

Die Cyprium-Aktie steigt diese Woche unter ansehnlichem Handelsvolumen auf ein frisches 6-Monatshoch. Im Hinblick auf die winzige Marktkapitalisierung offeriert Cyprium Investoren ein sehr hohes Performance-Potential..









Quote:


Nachdem Toll Miller und Explorer Cyprium Mining (V.CUG) Anfang der Woche den lokalen Spezialisten Bergmann für die Entwicklung der Potosi-Untergrundmine ernannte, folgte gestern die Bekanntgabe von neuen Explorationsresultaten..




Quote #2:

Toll Miller Cyprium Mining: Besichtigung der Potosi-Silbermine in Mexiko

Das Management-Team von Cyprium Mining (V.CUG) führte letzte Woche eine weitere Besichtigung von der Potosi-Silbermine in Mexiko durch. Die Arbeiten im Untergrund laufen auf Hochtouren..


Mittwoch, 6. Juli 2016

Zukünftiger Goldproduzent K92 Mining erhält finale Investment-Tranche

Nachdem der angehende Goldproduzent K92 Mining vor kurzer Zeit weitere operative Meilensteine erzielte, erhält die Firma diese Woche die finale Finanzierungstranche von Großaktionär und Projektpartner CRH. So fließen K92 weitere 1,6 Mio. CAD zu, welche für den Restart der Kainantu-Goldmine in PNG verwendet werden.

Das finale Investment von CRH, die einen Anteil der zukünftigen Goldproduktion erhalten werden, war dabei an bestimmte Bedingungen geknüpft:
  • Erstes Erz wird durch der Zerkleiner der Verarbeitungsanlagen geschickt
  • Kommissionierung der Gesteinsmühle
  • Ankunft der wichtigsten Bergbaumaschinen auf der Mine Site

Alle diese Fortschritte konnte K92 in den letzten Wochen erzielen. Für die kommende Produktionsaufnahme ist die Firma vollständig finanziert und komplett vorbereitet. Läuft alles nach Plan, dann wird K92 Mining bereits im August das erste Gold-Konzentrat produzieren..

K92 Mining receives $1.6M final investment tranche
 2016-07-04 13:56 ET - News Release - Mr. Ian Stalker reports 
K92 MINING INC. RECEIVES CDN $1,600,000 FROM CRH FUNDING II PTE. LTD. 
K92 Mining Inc. has received $1.6-million from CRH Funding II Pte. Ltd., representing CRH's final investment tranche pursuant to the previously announced gold prepayment agreement dated Feb. 4, 2016, entered into with CRH..
Linkhttp://www.k92mining.com/2016/07/k92-mining-inc-receives-cdn-1600000-from-crh-funding-ii-pte-ltd/

Werfen Sie auch einen Blick in die aktuelle Unternehmenspräsentation.

Quelle: k92mining.com



Quote:

K92 Mining: Interview mit CEO Ian Stalker über den angehenden Gold-Produzenten in PNG

Informatives Interview mit dem erfahrenen CEO Ian Stalker von Junior K92 Mining (TSX-V:KNT), die in Kürze die Goldproduktion in PNG wieder aufnehmen..





Quote #2:

Angehender Gold-Produzent in PNG: K92 Mining visiert Fertigstellung des Minenzugangs auf Kainantu im Juni an

Mit einem renommierten Management-Team, starken Aktionären, vollen Kassen und großen Ambitionen visiert die Junior-Firma K92 Mining (TSX-V:KNT) die Goldproduktion auf dem hoch-gradigen Irumafimpa-Vorkommen (Kainantu-Goldprojekt) in Papua-Neuguinea (PNG) an.

K92 Mining hat das attraktive Goldprojekt inkl. der historischen Goldmine Kainantu von Major Barrick Gold (NYE:ABX) während des schweren Bärenmarkts im Goldminen-Sektor in 2015 erworben. Barrick hat sich im Zuge des Schuldenabbaus und der Bilanzverbesserung von zahlreichen non-core Assets getrennt, sowie sich zunehmend vom Goldgeschäft in Asien zurückgezogen. So kam 92 Mining relativ kostengünstig zu diesem Gold-Asset..

FOMC Minutes: FED stellt weitere Zinserhöhung in Aussicht

Hierzu der aktuelle Report von Zerohedge:

FOMC Minutes Reveal Fed Wanted More Info Before Hiking

Tyler Durden's picture
Since June's FOMC statement, bonds and bullion have been well bid with stocks unchanged as rate-hike hopes collapsed. For those looking to glean insight from a confused Fed's minutes today, we wish them luck. As WSJ notes, the minutes can prove to be dated and that will be especially so given that Brexit occurred just days after, so the best we could hope for from today's minutes was "what-ifs."
  • *ALMOST ALL FED OFFICIALS SAW MAY PAYROLLS RAISING UNCERTAINTY
  • *SOME OFFICIALS SAID LOWER PAYROLLS MAY SIGNAL BROADER SLOWDOWN
  • *FOMC: PRUDENT TO WAIT FOR CONSEQUENCES OF U.K. VOTE
The key line however is the following:
Most judged that they would need to accumulate additional information on the labor market, production, and spending to help clarify how the economy was evolving in order to evaluate whether the stance of monetary policy should be adjusted.
In other words, nothing new as confusion continued, except for a Fed that is increasingly facing the realization that normalization is over as we draw readers' attention to the fact that the wordcount for 'uncertain' soared to 38.
Pre-Minutes: S&P Futs 2086, 10Y 1.385%, Gold $1367, BBDXY 1188.5
Further headlines:
  • *MANY OFFICIALS SAID MAY PAYROLL REPORT UNDERSTATED JOB PACE
  • *SOME FOMC MEMBERS ARGUED AGAINST DELAYING RATE HIKE TOO LONG
  • *MOST OFFICIALS IN JUNE SAW HIKE WARRANTED IF GROWTH PICKED UP
  • *FOMC: PRUDENT TO WAIT FOR CONSEQUENCES OF U.K. VOTE
As Bloomberg reports,
The minutes of their June 14-15 meeting show that the Federal Open Market Committee saw it prudent to wait for the result of Britain’s June 23 referendum, which at the time was still too close to call. The decision in favor of Brexit has since sent the pound tumbling and has driven bond yields to record lows.

The committee also weighed the health of the U.S. economy and the long-run trajectory for rate increases. A slowdown in hiring was among their chief concerns and another reason for caution. While “participants generally agreed that it was advisable to avoid overreacting to one or two labor-market reports,” the implications of recent employment data were viewed as “uncertain,” the minutes show. Most officials judged that they needed more information on jobs, production and spending.

“Most participants judged that, in the absence of significant economic or financial shocks, raising the target range for the federal funds rate would be appropriate if incoming information confirmed that economic growth had picked up,” job gains were sufficient to achieve full employment and inflation was moving up toward their 2 percent goal in the medium term, the minutes showed.
Confirming what we had noted previously (via WSJ),
The minutes can prove to be dated, even though they are now released 3 weeks after the latest gatherings. That will be especially so given what happened a week after the June meeting: Brexit. While uncertainty about how that vote would pan out helped keep central bankers on the rate-hike sidelines (though the jobs report 2 weeks earlier did most of that work for them), don't expect much insight beyond what ifs. And with Fed-fund futures putting 2016 on ice regarding a rate hike, the minutes likely won't change minds on that.
The Minutes showed the Fed's key concerns, namely about the economy:
While weakness in the drilling and mining sector was attributable to the earlier declines in oil prices, participants identified a variety of potential causes of the broader weakness in investment spending, including a slowdown in corporate profits, concern about prospects for economic growth, heightened uncertainty regarding the future course of domestic regulatory and fiscal policies, and a persistent reluctance on the part of firms to undertake new projects in the wake of the financial crisis. Some participants mentioned that the sluggishness in business investment could portend a broader economic slowdown. A couple of participants also noted that elevated inventory levels could be a drag on economic growth in the near term. However, participants also cited factors that could lead to a pickup in business spending, including the recent turnaround in energy prices and the greater optimism on the part of firms indicated by surveys of businesses and anecdotal reports in some Districts.
The May jobs  report:
The employment report for May showed considerably weaker growth in payrolls than had been expected, and gains in previous months were revised down. Although the unemployment rate fell in May, a drop  in labor force participation accounted for the decline.
More on the May jobs report:
Almost all participants judged that the surprisingly weak May employment report increased their uncertainty about the outlook for the labor market. Even so, many remarked that they were reluctant to change their outlook materially based on one economic data release. Participants generally expected to see a resumption of monthly gains in payroll employment that would be sufficient to promote  continued strengthening of the labor market. However, some noted that with labor market conditions at or near those consistent with maximum employment, it would be reasonable to anticipate that gains in payroll employment would soon moderate from the pace seen over the past few years.
... and the interpretation :
... many participants thought that the underlying pace had slowed some from that of previous months. Some noted that other indicators did not corroborate a material weakening of labor market conditions. These indicators included a number of regional surveys of labor market conditions, relatively low levels of initial claims for unemployment insurance, surveys of business hiring plans, and positive views of labor market conditions in recent consumer surveys. In addition, a few participants commented that the movements in labor force participation in recent months were, on balance, consistent with its secular downtrend. In contrast, some noted that the lower rate of payroll gains could instead be indicative of a broader slowdown in growth of economic activity that was also evidenced by other downbeat labor market indicators, such as a decline in the diffusion indexes of industry payrolls, an increase in the number of workers reporting that they were working part time for economic reasons, or the recent sharp drop in labor force participation. Finally, a few participants suggested that the weak employment growth may instead reflect supply constraints associated with a general tightening of labor market conditions. These participants saw the rising trend in wages, business reports of reduced worker availability, and high rate of job openings as supporting this interpretation.Others thought it unlikely that such constraints would have become evident so abruptly.
Lack of Inflation:
Inflation continued to run below the Committee’s 2 percent longer-run objective, partly reflecting earlier declines in energy prices and in prices of non-energy imports. Core PCE price inflation registered an increase of 1.6 percent for the 12 months ending in April, while recent readings on retail energy prices moved up notably. Most participants expected to see continued progress toward the Committee’s 2 percent inflation objective. They viewed the firming in some measures of core inflation, the evidence that wage growth was picking up, the ongoing tightening of resource utilization, the recent firming in oil prices, and the stabilization of the foreign exchange value of the dollar this year as factors likely to boost inflation over time. However, other participants were less confident that inflation would return to its target level over the medium term. They thought that progress could be very slow, particularly in light of the likelihood that tighter resource utilization may impart only modest upward pressure on prices. They also saw important downside risks, including persistent disinflationary pressures from very low inflation and weak economic growth abroad as well as the softening in some survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations and market-based measures of inflation compensation.
And of course, Brexit:
Most participants noted that the upcoming British referendum on membership in the European Union could generate financial market turbulence that could adversely affect domestic economic performance. Some also noted that continued uncertainty regarding the outlook for China’s foreign exchange policy and the relatively high levels of debt in China and some other EMEs represented appreciable risks to global financial stability and economic performance.
Under what conditions would the Fed raise:
Participants weighed a number of considerations in assessing the conditions under which it would be appropriate to increase the target range for the federal funds rate. Most participants indicated that they made only small changes to their forecasts for achieving and maintaining the Committee’s objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation over the medium term. Several noted that the fundamentals underlying their forecasts remained solid, with several mentioning, in particular, that financial conditions were accommodative and household balance sheets had improved. In evaluating recent economic information, participants generally agreed that it was advisable to avoid overreacting to one or two labor market reports; however, the implications of the recent data on labor market conditions for the economic outlook were uncertain. Most judged that they would need to accumulate additional information on the labor market, production, and spending to help clarify how the economy was evolving in order to evaluate whether the stance of monetary policy should be adjusted. In addition, participants generally thought that it would be prudent to wait for the outcome of the  upcoming referendum in the United Kingdom on membership in the European Union in order to assess the consequences of the vote for global financial market conditions and the U.S. economic outlook.

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However, some other participants were uncertain whether economic conditions would soon warrant an increase in the target range for the federal funds rate. Several of them noted downside risks to the outlook for growth in economic activity and for further improvement in labor market conditions, including the possibility that the sharp slowdown in employment gains and the continued weakness in business fixed investment signaled a downshift in economic growth, as well as the potential for global economic or financial shocks. Moreover, several of them worried about the declines in measures of inflation compensation and in some surveybased measures of inflation expectations and suggested that monetary policy may need to remain accommodative for some time in order to move inflation closer to 2 percent on a sustained basis. A few pointed out that with inflation likely to remain low for some time and to rise only gradually, maintaining an accommodative stance of policy could extend the strengthening of the labor market. In addition, several participants observed that because short-term interest rates were still near zero, monetary policy could, if necessary, respond more effectively to surprisingly strong inflationary pressures in the future than to a weakening in the labor market and falling inflation.
But the one word that best summarizes the report is "uncertainty", used well over 30 times througout the text.
Since June's FOMC Statement...